Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619a9dab7ca1af3b64c902bad9bfa1a24f8491f1c29f061ec9abaeb2fb5f4b2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 6,809$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 6,595$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 25c | 5,368$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.01 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 29c | 3,555$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.37 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Over | 71c | 1,737$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 74c | 1,554$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 74c | 1,551$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 75c | 1,533$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.27 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 71c | 1,341$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 75c | 1,341$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 1,114$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.55 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Over | 75c | 1,005$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 74c | 883.6$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 854.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 71c | 631.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 5c | 603.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Under | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…4ca1backed Over | 70c | 502.7$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 27c | 460.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 19c | 451.53$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 80c | 443.79$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 12c | 416.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 74c | 406$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 31c | 309.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 75c | 284.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 27c | 280.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…05b8backed Over | 70c | 277.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 9c | 241.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 214.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 206.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 25c | 202$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Over | 69c | 182.75$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 152$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…c99abacked Over | 72c | 137.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 24c | 123.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 101.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 75c | 101.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 97.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 25c | 96.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 20c | 81.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 28c | 80.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 17c | 62.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…1002backed Under | 28c | 61.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 56.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Over | 71c | 55.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 28c | 54.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 27c | 49.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.4wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…7fc9backed Over | 70c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 74c | 16.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…6f8cbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.