TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,371 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c24,707$16,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,685.253,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over36c13,890$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,889.577554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c11,656$6,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,586.92,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Over44c10,651$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,951.11825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over23c6,260$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,811.8412832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c4,901$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.762,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over22c3,889$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,052.695927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over35c1,927$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.4723461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c1,699$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.936235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over45c1,492$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over23c1,406$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.824341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over49c1,400$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.4610061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c1,328$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.7570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under77c1,076$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.4711246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over26c1,001$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under34c826.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under40c793.78$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2779532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under15c736.93$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.793627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under64c715.87$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6138047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over22c700$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5472213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-52.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under73c601.57$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under77c550.69$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.625534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Over29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under64c496$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.446136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over26c405$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c381.5$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3217958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under34c367.95$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under74c350$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2595947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over22c299.87$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.93737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under62c284.46$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.729141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under66c266.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751580%12 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over33c236.79$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.271450%7 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over22c215.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.053366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over48c215.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.937859%46 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over25c199.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9915224.3%37 W · 115 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under77c181$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.379345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+250.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under57c147.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over34c128.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.39560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under66c120$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.25745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over44c107.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.463132.3%10 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under33c102.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5515240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Over39c101.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over49c101.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.624358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over39c98.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1717855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under78c98.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3444156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under19c96.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over48c92.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.887553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under67c89.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.64269%29 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under77c85.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.895740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under68c85.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.885371.7%38 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under77c81.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.535850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under22c80.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.293154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.846956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over48c76.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over23c70.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over23c65.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7666150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under71c63.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.554358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…a150backed Over27c61.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under77c57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.891,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over23c56.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+156%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Under61c54.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Over57c50.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.836100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.833036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under73c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over36c49.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6663857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Under58c47.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.761040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.622751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over27c44.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.449644.8%43 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over25c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3311657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under78c43.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.27656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01e0…d1cebacked Over23c43.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76bd…978cbacked Over57c43.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under69c39.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3614654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under69c38.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.714850%24 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa6…63b6backed Under77c32.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over49c31.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8345348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76de…85ccbacked Over32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+153%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdffc…32e1backed Over50c30.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Under75c30.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-79.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Under75c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under78c29.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.632352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under78c28.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.112937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under67c27.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.333250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under54c26.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Over57c26.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…e592backed Over57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c23.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under77c23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7181440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.