Fifa International · resolved market
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2841474b890590b3c7e3465b49b4db04c064f30be15ca932ee59876e3c3a9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $846,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 29c | 250,000$72,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,139.28 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 71c | 220,000$156,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,799.99 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 56,075$39,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,211.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 19,853$5,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,757.38 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 14c | 7,737$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…85ecbacked Over | 72c | 4,973$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.03 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 71c | 1,682$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.65 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.98 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 25c | 1,166$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 3c | 1,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 1,002$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Under | 21c | 935$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 27c | 931.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 74c | 869$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…f149backed Under | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 74c | 774.34$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 14c | 745.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.19 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 71c | 642.39$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 15c | 571.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Over | 77c | 513.51$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 29c | 511.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 72c | 508.3$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 473.47$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 69c | 371.01$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 339.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 27c | 291.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 27c | 290$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 276.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.36 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 264.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 73c | 260.27$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 74c | 203.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 71c | 190.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 70c | 177.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 32c | 128.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 17c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 28c | 120$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 12c | 109$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 12c | 93.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Over | 74c | 85.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 27c | 82.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 73c | 81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…a070backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 73c | 69.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 77c | 68.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 74c | 51.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 28c | 48.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 30c | 48.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 28c | 47.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 75c | 43.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e853backed Over | 69c | 43.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 74c | 31.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 68c | 29.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 73c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Over | 77c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 72c | 21.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 74c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…2819backed Over | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 77c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Over | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5this page
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Cyprus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.