Fifa International · resolved market
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a9b424b9c1eef70fa9d9742ababb2da26cd30a8b79018bb142102a9f0fb1c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe301…8654backed Over | 4c | 12,714$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.79 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 7,772$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.85 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked Over | 24c | 7,362$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…1f77backed Under | 76c | 4,275$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 3,990$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 3,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…326cbacked Under | 76c | 3,087$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 77c | 1,757$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.46 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 25c | 1,670$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.41 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Over | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 710.12$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 42c | 693.21$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 42c | 693.21$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 27c | 605.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 59c | 505.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 75c | 301.2$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 295.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 287.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 23c | 280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 76c | 264.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 24c | 235.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 207.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 75c | 195.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf5…6db3backed Under | 75c | 182.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 23c | 139.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 27c | 137.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 40.7%133 W · 194 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Under | 76c | 131.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 74c | 131.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 75c | 130.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 29c | 119.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 25c | 108.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 25c | 98.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 97.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Over | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under | 59c | 62.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 25c | 53.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 78c | 49.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Under | 68c | 36.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Under | 78c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 74c | 18.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 17.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 77c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5this page
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Cyprus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.