TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over49c200,000$97,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,00017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under51c185,717$95,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,139.6574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under47c18,642$8,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,880.0812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over49c7,955$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,890.822450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c7,500$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,22574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over50c7,055$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50013544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c6,498$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.863,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under52c4,317$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.9817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c3,958$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under49c3,430$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.752,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c3,022$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.8220262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over59c2,483$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4606930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under53c2,453$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.835843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98011654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9613351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under53c1,945$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.367851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c1,536$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.712,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under64c1,448$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.184738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over69c1,443$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over44c1,325$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over46c1,246$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.939846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under65c1,154$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.2143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc376…6850backed Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-70%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Under53c918$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.468355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under40c900.49$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…a9aabacked Over50c884.35$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over8c880.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.622,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under52c799.92$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9614433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under50c792.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Under52c714.5$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9610349.5%51 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb143…f649backed Under53c569.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.99242.4%39 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c538.3$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25321747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over47c524.71$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over57c519.75$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under79c495.38$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over52c492.41$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under44c457.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.911450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c451.89$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.391,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over45c449.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under51c439.43$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8624448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over47c438$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8913643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over18c422$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0911238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over47c404.26$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over24c389.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under46c387.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6216153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under53c375.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9513746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c369$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.041,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c352.01$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.683,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over27c344.69$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9315143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under54c301.67$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7741857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under55c296.65$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.492441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over54c279.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5834330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under54c279$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.348549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under37c268.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.511369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under39c257.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under51c254.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9410744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under37c242.59$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.119047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under59c237.34$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under55c235$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.171050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c221.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over45c220$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c214.76$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over68c213.2$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.989467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under52c212.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.011,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e98…9046backed Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8010944%48 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c180.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9535549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c180.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under53c178.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5518764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over48c177.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over48c171.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.891,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c166.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.923,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over48c155.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6210451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under53c152.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7338439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over46c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c142.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4450850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over49c126$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7417145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2cd…607ebacked Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under40c122.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3210540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over65c118.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7712250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c116.35$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under53c108.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6132055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.821546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c103.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.361,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over49c103.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.498644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c102.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under44c83.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.956958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Over48c81.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.941020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over61c79.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3731554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under55c77.73$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.821,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over45c76.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2523255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under69c75.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4315257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.