Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a13563f8b1e0428f47cf387f77642e2013bd8dec23df8f158477b92025f6338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloveniaof Cyprus, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Cyprus | 11c | 2,026$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fdb…2cffbacked Cyprus | 2c | 1,026$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…afd3backed Cyprus | 2c | 1,019$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c3…f30ebacked Cyprus | 2c | 1,002$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…63d7backed Cyprus | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaf…6418backed Cyprus | 3c | 999.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…93a5backed Cyprus | 3c | 986$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…ac28backed Cyprus | 2c | 986$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…ec41backed Cyprus | 3c | 986$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…bf9dbacked Cyprus | 3c | 985.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…26b5backed Cyprus | 2c | 985.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…de02backed Cyprus | 3c | 975$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2852…ffb7backed Cyprus | 2c | 972$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…7136backed Cyprus | 3c | 972$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…a2b4backed Cyprus | 2c | 969.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…6b8ebacked Cyprus | 3c | 965$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d2…09eebacked Cyprus | 3c | 965$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…f3b3backed Cyprus | 2c | 960$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +195.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba8…8aa1backed Cyprus | 2c | 960$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…3ed8backed Cyprus | 2c | 956$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…11debacked Cyprus | 2c | 956$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…3697backed Cyprus | 2c | 917$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…2d45backed Cyprus | 2c | 895$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…46e9backed Cyprus | 2c | 874$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…aba2backed Cyprus | 2c | 817$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…ea86backed Cyprus | 2c | 799$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…d573backed Cyprus | 2c | 790$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…04d6backed Cyprus | 2c | 774$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cyprus | 5c | 713.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cyprus | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)this page
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Cyprus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.