Fifa International · resolved market
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e45f0a9847c13665767383ffbf88731d8919faac95cce8306aa967b79161a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 1,413$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 1,071$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 1,056$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 30c | 971.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 23c | 453.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 20c | 435.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 75c | 169.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 25c | 164$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 42c | 146.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 36c | 119.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 74c | 113.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 39c | 111.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed No | 61c | 94.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 81.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 29c | 70.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…a496backed Yes | 41c | 70.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 23c | 65.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…579dbacked No | 34c | 42.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…f94abacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 30.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 72c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5Over won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5Under won
- Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cyprus (-1.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Cyprus won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Cyprus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.