Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85f3835cc6cf0a12af6c39fcace98a308e143a48ed06bd92431813911370bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5117…8c8dbacked No | 51c | 21,230$10,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,827.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…4eabbacked Yes | 49c | 21,229$10,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,826.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee1…dddcbacked Yes | 49c | 21,220$10,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,822.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…cd0abacked No | 51c | 21,219$10,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,821.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,221$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 28c | 812.73$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 514.43$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed No | 49c | 502.61$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 381$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.69 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…e714backed Yes | 79c | 372.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 76c | 263.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 49c | 183.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 22c | 139.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 21c | 138.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Yes | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Yes | 51c | 127.43$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Yes | 59c | 99.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Yes | 52c | 72.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…f0ebbacked Yes | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 73c | 62.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +57%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 42.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 50c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 50c | 37.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…6574backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 48c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 50c | 26.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 66c | 22.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-11-21?this page
- Will Silkeborg IF vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-11-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.