Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2600ac614632d7d28444e896d4735dca8b1cacaa6a157ebf05d9b27992e72a5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 79c | 1,920$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.63 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,448$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.53 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 600.57$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 19c | 364.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 327.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 21c | 238$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 23c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 21c | 67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 21c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1f…bdb1backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.