Other European Leagues · resolved market
NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8283d47424b765234829746438c6e02e42077d9d64367f3ebf6f20b38b40d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,258.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 10,872$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 49c | 6,664$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 51c | 5,877$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 5,274$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 4,705$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…9207backed Under | 50c | 3,428$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 50c | 3,262$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Over | 76c | 2,163$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 80c | 882.1$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.58 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…d211backed Under | 50c | 690$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 51c | 547.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.07 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 529.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…0d07backed Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 57c | 252.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…e094backed Over | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Over | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 135.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 47c | 120.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 117.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…6448backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 51c | 97.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 87.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 49c | 70.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Under | 50c | 61.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 52c | 58.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 35.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Over | 51c | 30.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 51c | 29.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Over | 51c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Over | 67c | 25.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 50c | 22.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…9e8bbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5this page
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
- NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.