Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad92581ab131eb5c33f6180581b52bef1d69e72fdc4d889e88bd4ce4956cf25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 40c | 9,134$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.47 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 60c | 4,538$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…95dbbacked Over | 61c | 2,474$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Under | 45c | 2,206$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 59c | 1,572$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.54 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 537$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 60c | 504.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.07 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 56c | 357.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Over | 57c | 302.65$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Under | 44c | 227.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…ebb8backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…bb17backed Over | 50c | 94.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 59c | 60.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Under | 43c | 57.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 61c | 49.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Over | 58c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 59c | 43.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 59c | 42.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…862dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 76c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.