Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd34b7b8e5a1a0f6219a82bed039029cd8c28a09568301c0dd891b7771abfd3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 2,186$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.75 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 52c | 471.91$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 447.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 319.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked No | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 50c | 187.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…9c6ebacked Yes | 74c | 171.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 45c | 154.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed No | 36c | 133.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 33c | 103.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed No | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 91.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…b49ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 69.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…9bd8backed No | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 56.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 55.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 74c | 53.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Yes | 52c | 47.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 36c | 43.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed No | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 65cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3608…f911backed Yes | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…0381backed Yes | 73c | 18.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.