Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8f2cc29cd5bdb5575442ad0f99cedb80f5061577a0bb1c80553df5f194d5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 6,509$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.68 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,956$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.9 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 13c | 1,999$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 11c | 1,552$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Under | 80c | 1,235$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 39c | 1,042$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.15 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 69c | 711.16$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 67c | 686.14$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.71 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 33c | 619.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.34 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 43c | 500.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 24c | 206.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 48c | 202.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 11c | 159.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Under | 68c | 144.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 139.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Under | 68c | 137.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 41c | 131.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Over | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 32c | 86.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 40c | 85.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 19c | 65.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 61.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…9bc4backed Over | 32c | 59.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked Under | 68c | 57.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 33c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 68c | 49.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 67c | 45.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 33c | 43.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 32c | 39.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 67c | 36.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 67c | 34.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 43c | 33.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 37c | 30.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…b4b6backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 79c | 24.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…c285backed Under | 69c | 22.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 67c | 21.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 66c | 15.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.