TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,662
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,662 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c6,968$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,180.83735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c5,650$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.115757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c4,337$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.584,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Under44c3,448$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,540$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.526,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c2,445$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.342,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c2,131$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.8475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over40c1,700$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0267356.2%41 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under45c1,110$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under44c1,050$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under60c993.11$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.8739555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over55c778.4$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.284852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3882142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over48c625.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.224540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Under76c519.11$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.233354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under59c486.72$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1732345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over63c481.14$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.022147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under52c430.01$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed Over50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2220545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over49c343$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.932532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc53…b893backed Under45c333.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6977…9038backed Over57c326.17$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c325.49$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over53c289.53$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.863650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under61c267$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.924052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c242.8$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.455351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Under45c202.84$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.283948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under7c202.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1777236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10230645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.882766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.451847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c168.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under40c154.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c131.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.261,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under37c121.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.039857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d0…468abacked Over69c115.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under11c106.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over54c99.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9915738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c6…3c48backed Over49c96.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.441241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c96.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Over54c90.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over56c87.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.552650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5d…12e7backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.655254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c78.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under47c75.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.537350.7%37 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over33c73.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1510634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over50c72.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.389652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over37c64.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5210939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Under44c54.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Over55c54.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.58560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over55c53.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.873444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0520864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under44c50.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.234934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Over48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17b3…f8d4backed Under50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over56c43.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.029957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Under45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3421043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3427955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3714431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3711348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3740742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7220336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e7…3f3fbacked Under47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Under45c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.412944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Over46c38.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.763339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under51c37.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over50c36.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4312647.6%60 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.36354%34 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.78362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under58c33.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Under45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5115553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x096e…efd8backed Under70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under44c29.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.144634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under45c29.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0514258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Over49c27.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under46c27.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked Under46c27.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under46c27.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0235743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under45c24.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.064344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over55c23.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.749152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under43c23.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.023125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c21.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.