Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb026f0dd21e1816befda55d2d60a574458cd2dc7475e5f7d89189b721a66dfde

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nottingham Forest FCof Nottingham Forest FC, Burnley FC
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $136,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $194,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	42c	56,885$24,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,747.73	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Burnley FC	58c	18,556$10,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,762.31	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC	58c	13,111$7,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,547.53	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Burnley FC	57c	7,513$4,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,282.58	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Burnley FC	57c	6,000$3,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,420	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC	58c	4,913$2,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,848.77	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC	41c	3,142$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,868.38	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Burnley FC	57c	3,000$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC	58c	2,800$1,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Burnley FC	63c	1,552$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.8	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Nottingham Forest FC	26c	1,336$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$986.37	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Burnley FC	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Burnley FC	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Burnley FC	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Burnley FC	22c	908.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.98	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	26cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Burnley FC	59c	878.05$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.05	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefed…aecdbacked Nottingham Forest FC	41c	846.97$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.71	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	23cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	820.37$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.82	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Burnley FC	58c	800$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Burnley FC	57c	800$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	143	54.5%78 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Burnley FC	57c	800$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	127	57.5%73 W · 54 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Burnley FC	57c	800$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Burnley FC	58c	674.26$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.07	91	52.7%48 W · 43 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Burnley FC	59c	539.22$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.14	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Nottingham Forest FC	41c	520.13$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.88	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Nottingham Forest FC	78c	512.15$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.67	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Burnley FC	54c	507.4$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.33	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Burnley FC	58c	474$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.92	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	459.62$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.58	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+34%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Burnley FC	57c	420$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.4	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Burnley FC	63c	359.97$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.78	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-27%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Burnley FC	57c	300$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Burnley FC	57c	300$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked Burnley FC	13c	299.77$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.01	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Burnley FC	69c	284.46$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.28	162	33.3%54 W · 108 L	-14.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nottingham Forest FC	78c	270.85$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.59	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdc5…eb41backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	229.81$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.29	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6606…a628backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	218.32$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.63	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Burnley FC	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Burnley FC	58c	198.39$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.07	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Burnley FC	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Burnley FC	59c	165.82$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.83	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Burnley FC	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Burnley FC	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Burnley FC	59c	148.57$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.23	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nottingham Forest FC	74c	139.06$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.82	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Nottingham Forest FC	78c	134.93$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.68	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Burnley FC	57c	125.57$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.57	120	50%60 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2d…2f32backed Burnley FC	22c	120.87$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+69.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Nottingham Forest FC	42c	114.9$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.64	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Burnley FC	24c	108.3$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Burnley FC	58c	104.78$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.77	138	46.4%64 W · 74 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Burnley FC	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Burnley FC	58c	99.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.99	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	91.92$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.32	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Burnley FC	58c	83$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.14	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Burnley FC	62c	78.86$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.87	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nottingham Forest FC	13c	76.93$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.93	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Burnley FC	59c	70$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.3	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Burnley FC	58c	65.1$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.76	164	54.9%90 W · 74 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Nottingham Forest FC	32c	59.95$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.77	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+3.3wins	+0.37per pick	41cpaid	+108.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Nottingham Forest FC	32c	59.95$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.77	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Burnley FC	57c	57.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed Nottingham Forest FC	39c	53.63$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.72	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Burnley FC	57c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Burnley FC	62c	48.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.11	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Burnley FC	59c	39.02$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Burnley FC	59c	33.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Burnley FC	59c	33.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	189	61.9%117 W · 72 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	31.69$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.38	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…4632backed Burnley FC	58c	25.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Burnley FC	58c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	594	45.5%270 W · 324 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Burnley FC	59c	24.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1e1…8f4fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	42c	24.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Burnley FC	59c	19.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.51	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)this page
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event