Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577b8ec978c5de5a7d069d28a81685762647be985e7622a0b56c2ebd2ab42ee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Nottingham Forest FC, Burnley FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 23c | 105,620$23,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,780.94 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Burnley FC | 77c | 54,662$42,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,090.01 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Burnley FC | 78c | 30,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,399.99 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC | 78c | 13,577$10,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,651.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Burnley FC | 77c | 4,130$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.77 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Burnley FC | 78c | 1,644$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.47 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Burnley FC | 78c | 1,400$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Burnley FC | 78c | 978.81$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.47 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Burnley FC | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Burnley FC | 78c | 555.94$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.13 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Burnley FC | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Burnley FC | 79c | 453.7$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.43 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Burnley FC | 78c | 440.56$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Burnley FC | 78c | 409.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.67 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Nottingham Forest FC | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Burnley FC | 79c | 216.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nottingham Forest FC | 20c | 197.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Burnley FC | 80c | 128.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Burnley FC | 78c | 125.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf411…b975backed Burnley FC | 80c | 119.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Burnley FC | 55c | 105.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Burnley FC | 79c | 93.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 21c | 89.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…a4f3backed Burnley FC | 79c | 87.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Burnley FC | 77c | 85.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nottingham Forest FC | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 19c | 62.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Burnley FC | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Burnley FC | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Burnley FC | 79c | 43.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Burnley FC | 79c | 39.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Burnley FC | 78c | 39.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Burnley FC | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Burnley FC | 79c | 37.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Burnley FC | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Burnley FC | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…2065backed Burnley FC | 80c | 31.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…b342backed Burnley FC | 79c | 30.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Burnley FC | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Burnley FC | 79c | 25.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Burnley FC | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…d7bcbacked Burnley FC | 79c | 25.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Burnley FC | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Burnley FC | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Burnley FC | 79c | 24.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Burnley FC | 79c | 23.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Burnley FC | 80c | 22.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Burnley FC | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Burnley FC | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Burnley FC | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…3094backed Burnley FC | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b00…795fbacked Burnley FC | 79c | 16.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Burnley FC | 79c | 15.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.