Asian League · resolved market
Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d77a1b1a2256e6a38f8efd8e2a012efe998ab670916565c7f11e2b60ab3589f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,729 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,056$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 41c | 852.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 61c | 328.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Under | 63c | 195.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 54c | 189.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Under | 57c | 161$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 30c | 102.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 53c | 46.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 46c | 33.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 23.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 53c | 19.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gangwon FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.