Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10352e1d7365b8f3d259fc48c308d3736b7d3d48ae77df92c286755d964248d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,456 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 1,759$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 31c | 1,250$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Under | 55c | 999.84$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.93 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 727.05$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 43c | 726.49$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 724.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 43c | 697.79$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…7d97backed Under | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 442.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 43c | 395.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…3418backed Over | 44c | 364$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…738abacked Under | 56c | 332$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 63c | 328.02$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…5b45backed Under | 56c | 301$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…926abacked Under | 56c | 286$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…7d15backed Under | 56c | 247$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…21cbbacked Under | 56c | 239$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…2d28backed Over | 44c | 235$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…950dbacked Over | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 42c | 170.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 58c | 164.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 161.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 16c | 139.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…5a39backed Over | 44c | 131$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 23c | 121.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…31eebacked Over | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 55c | 119.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 117.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e9cabacked Over | 44c | 117$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…30b7backed Over | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…116bbacked Over | 44c | 95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 63.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 57.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 63c | 55.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 51.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 50.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Under | 65c | 44.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 34c | 42.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 41.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 31.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…f521backed Over | 43c | 30.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748c…684dbacked Under | 58c | 26.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…8291backed Under | 58c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 72cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 61c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.