Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c55af89c8672d7d08519ba41b30e5a508f202b0a8afe00aaca94dbd4df39449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,892 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,434$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,322$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.35 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 57c | 1,038$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 67c | 987.94$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 38c | 746.04$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.12 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 33c | 738.13$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.12 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 57c | 707.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 621.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 536$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.68 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 459.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Under | 64c | 431.52$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Over | 66c | 376.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 306.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 280.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…b2b0backed Over | 66c | 279$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 49c | 261.22$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…8745backed Over | 67c | 231.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 36c | 206.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…aa8fbacked Over | 66c | 192$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 38c | 157.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 32c | 153.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 147.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 43c | 142.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 47c | 136.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…3420backed Under | 34c | 132$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 33c | 129.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 125$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 58c | 105.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…9f73backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 66c | 99.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…223bbacked Under | 34c | 97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 50c | 93.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…4404backed Under | 34c | 88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 69c | 83.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…23d2backed Under | 34c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 44c | 76.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…4788backed Over | 64c | 76.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…4d60backed Under | 34c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 15c | 69.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 33c | 44.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 64c | 40.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Under | 53c | 35.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 34.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 53c | 34.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 35c | 34.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.