Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6e5efbcd9d533897462cb436bfe05f7b8441e06a8375d762b6111d09238f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dalian Yingbo FCof Shanghai Haigang FC, Dalian Yingbo FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,356 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 75c | 1,863$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 24c | 1,249$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 26c | 999.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 828.89$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.12 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 27c | 626.73$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 26c | 553.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 27c | 421.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 75c | 176.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 27c | 166.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 26c | 101.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 26c | 101.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shanghai Haigang FC | 25c | 97.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 22c | 95.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 76c | 78.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Shanghai Haigang FC | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 73c | 68.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 45.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…3a5bbacked Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 40.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 73c | 29.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 28.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed Dalian Yingbo FC | 74c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.