Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e6431cb0b120d87a10b4641412de3174ac13f8de857a5f5232c0f4c18c9824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 75c | 3,094$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.05 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 26c | 1,251$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.08 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 21c | 940.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 803.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.7 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…1bc0backed Under | 76c | 660$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 25c | 530.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 499.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Over | 29c | 460.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 455.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 24c | 382.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 353.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Under | 78c | 255.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 203.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 216 | 43.5%94 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 78c | 127.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 25c | 123.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 74c | 119.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 91.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 75c | 78.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…acdfbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…8297backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 76c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.