Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1984b83d5a514564b66cdc0ef0eccee04dbfb903680f1361e443241fe15ef53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,479 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,855$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.9 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,539$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.95 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 67c | 1,111$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266a…15d3backed Over | 73c | 1,014$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994c…2d29backed Under | 19c | 733.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 25c | 595.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.87 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…d367backed Under | 22c | 345.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…ab38backed Over | 78c | 345.12$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Over | 58c | 340$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 29c | 315.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 18c | 312.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 239.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 30c | 238.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Under | 18c | 190.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +467.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Over | 66c | 121.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 15c | 118.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 14c | 117.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Over | 50c | 108.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 29c | 92.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 66c | 90.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5a…a040backed Under | 15c | 72.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +549.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 39c | 63.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…e651backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 65c | 46.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 47c | 34.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Over | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…4336backed Over | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…a340backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 53c | 19.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.