Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee93f39c24fbe28a879bbc40f0d2d1fe2a24ed7a38ec1b2cc8a899fe3b6a701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 48c | 2,651$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.7 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,449$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Yes | 17c | 2,113$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,651$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.69 | 96 | 16.7%16 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 75c | 1,445$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4faabacked Yes | 10c | 1,270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,212$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed No | 79c | 1,192$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 67c | 1,060$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 75c | 1,013$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.14 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…23c3backed Yes | 41c | 976.86$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4b…ffacbacked No | 59c | 976.86$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…d142backed Yes | 54c | 925.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…8770backed Yes | 59c | 882.1$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 29c | 855.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.39 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed No | 73c | 811.98$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 17c | 799.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…0014backed Yes | 27c | 709.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…ff92backed No | 73c | 709.51$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 75c | 624.64$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 51c | 579.74$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…1399backed Yes | 35c | 455.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…1cfabacked No | 60c | 411.06$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…c000backed Yes | 40c | 411.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…62e1backed No | 45c | 374.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 373.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 17c | 354.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 37c | 326$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed No | 62c | 324.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 316.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f8…3940backed Yes | 62c | 264.74$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 20c | 241$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 16c | 204.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe946…0459backed Yes | 59c | 204.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…1c61backed Yes | 68c | 183.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 27c | 177.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…6ae7backed Yes | 58c | 172.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 52c | 171.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 36c | 165$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…b2debacked No | 68c | 158.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…980ebacked Yes | 32c | 158.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…0e5bbacked No | 70c | 156.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 154.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…7e64backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 13c | 148.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…b448backed No | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 57c | 136.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 53c | 134.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed No | 80c | 129.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 122.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…02cabacked Yes | 57c | 109.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 27c | 103.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed No | 60c | 101.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf620…90e5backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed No | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 44c | 99.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked No | 60c | 94.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 48c | 88.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 69c | 87.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4f…6232backed Yes | 73c | 86.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 44c | 84.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 65c | 77.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…d995backed No | 64c | 73.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed No | 50c | 70.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…a183backed No | 67c | 64.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 58.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 52c | 57.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 69c | 57.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed No | 79c | 57.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 71cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…3528backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed No | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 60c | 48.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…e2b6backed Yes | 34c | 44.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 69c | 42.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…cdf3backed Yes | 38c | 41.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…e577backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…9274backed Yes | 56c | 39.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Yes | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 47c | 32.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 42c | 31.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 47c | 31.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…4e23backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 71c | 29.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 44c | 29.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…c9ecbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…5a81backed No | 55c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…4490backed Yes | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…df8fbacked No | 73c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…3625backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 59c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.