Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e3abcb008e34dbcb3141fd18b826841588175a5c8a156d73a1120e5c35f825c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,628 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x00a0…bf76backed Over	39c	6,405$2,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,907.05	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	5,896$3,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,163.19	6,047	45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L	-21.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	45c	3,429$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.59	4,696	41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	53c	2,261$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	57c	1,100$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.99	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	774.08$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.01	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over	77c	649.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.35	111	69.4%77 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	72cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over	78c	642.78$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.78	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	23c	390.11$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.71	2,530	47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L	+43.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	66c	361.64$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.96	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over	46c	338.22$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.64	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	46c	326.09$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.09	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over	54c	254$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.84	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	22c	250$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over	63c	231.6$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.8	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	55c	230$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	42c	226.12$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.3	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over	56c	213.18$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.18	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	60cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	52c	211.54$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.54	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	57c	200$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	134	61.2%82 W · 52 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	44c	188.58$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.24	1,923	42.4%815 W · 1,108 L	-42.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	56c	180.21$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.29	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	22c	180$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	25c	169.58$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,615	34.9%564 W · 1,051 L	-28.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over	61c	160.66$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.66	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	52c	159.99$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.59	552	54.5%301 W · 251 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over	74c	133.78$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	26c	131.97$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.31	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	25c	124$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over	68c	121$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.2	106	55.7%59 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	68c	120.89$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.09	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	69c	120$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over	69c	120$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	108	61.1%66 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	69c	120$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	69c	120$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	300	57%171 W · 129 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over	69c	120$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over	60c	120$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	74c	113.92$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.74	1,161	57.4%666 W · 495 L	+40.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over	55c	109.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.6	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	68c	105.86$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.42	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	69c	104.86$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.51	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	69c	104.86$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.51	167	57.5%96 W · 71 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	596	45.5%271 W · 325 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.05	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over	46c	97.72$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.77	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	50c	78.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	22c	76.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	1,208	42.2%510 W · 698 L	-27.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over	69c	72.62$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.62	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	68	66.2%45 W · 23 L	+9.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under	42c	71.49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	65c	61.54$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over	46c	55.43$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.93	177	45.2%80 W · 97 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over	37c	49.97$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over	66c	45.45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.45	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9381…9ae2backed Over	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over	45c	38.4$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over	69c	36.23$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.23	111	64%71 W · 40 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over	69c	35.36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.96	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over	46c	35.04$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over	45c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+75.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	58c	29.08$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over	56c	25.01$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.13	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa738…ddedbacked Over	64c	24.99$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under	55c	24.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	61c	24.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over	45c	23.56$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	67c	22.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ea…98e6backed Under	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	99	53.5%53 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over	75c	19.72$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.93	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-39%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4a…d477backed Over	77c	15.58$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.58	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5this page
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event