Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1e9f7e074ac477143137c4d19645072de73a9116f14e0794e93d9a6012da04

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $20,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $25,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,528 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	31c	2,553$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.29	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	57c	2,102$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over	41c	1,220$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	26c	1,118$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.68	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	73c	887.47$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.47	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Under	72c	696.26$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.26	111	69.4%77 W · 34 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	72cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	27c	662.85$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.97	162	32.1%52 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	631.28$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.14	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	29c	542.3$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.63	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	66c	537.08$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.82	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	75c	360.27$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	75c	360.27$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	167	57.5%96 W · 71 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	75c	357.45$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.09	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	74c	335.64$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.64	97	52.6%51 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under	65c	334.65$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.18	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	64cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	15c	294.47$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.55	1,690	34.9%589 W · 1,101 L	-33.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	27c	249.99$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	13c	230.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under	74c	202.31$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.31	106	55.7%59 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	28c	199.51$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over	43c	194.49$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	27c	190$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.3	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	26c	180$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	74c	167.46$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.6	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over	45c	162.4$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	74c	161.78$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	74c	161.78$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under	74c	161.78$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under	74c	161.78$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over	19c	155$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under	74c	135.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.21	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	74c	135.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.21	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	74c	135.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	288	59.7%172 W · 116 L	+19.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over	45c	126.67$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	28c	126$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	1,636	52.9%866 W · 770 L	+32.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under	71c	125$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.25	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over	29c	125$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	127	44.1%56 W · 71 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	27c	124.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	1,240	42.2%523 W · 717 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over	27c	119.55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.12	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	70c	100.45$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.26	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Over	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over	24c	91.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	110	53.6%59 W · 51 L	+11.1wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	32c	78.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	68	66.2%45 W · 23 L	+9.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under	74c	64.7$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.82	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	62cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Over	30c	38.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.41	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Under	58c	35.79$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.03	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over	31c	35.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.97	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	74c	33.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	74c	33.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	111	64%71 W · 40 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Under	79c	20.21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.21	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	70c	19.99$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked Under	77c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.22	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5this page
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event