Premier League · resolved market
Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7625167215ce25bcd0911ebb24466edcbb29b5d15aa0c1c60f8f82c09a3c6aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 3,128$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.57 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,142$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 61c | 1,506$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.74 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 2c | 1,194$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 41c | 969.95$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 53c | 799.05$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 34c | 622.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 587.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 52c | 562$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.76 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 428.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 391.14$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 54c | 279.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 228.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 74c | 213.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 172$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 30c | 156.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 25c | 144$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 67c | 143.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 20c | 141.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 49c | 137.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 128.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 125.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 111.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…b729backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…2b94backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 29c | 62.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 56.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 44c | 45.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…1798backed Over | 27c | 40.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 38.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 40c | 30.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 26.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…107abacked Over | 52c | 24.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8925…35e0backed Over | 52c | 24.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…347bbacked Over | 52c | 24.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 56c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…5db9backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…4d77backed Over | 52c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 22.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…fa89backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…d272backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 71c | 20.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 57c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millwall FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)Millwall FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.