NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f27df1c9748a89bc3969d4d3c40660dba28a48462a72a6dc3d8142ee41df9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Cavaliers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,850 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 48c | 13,254$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,828.94 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…0099backed Magic | 47c | 9,778$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…cdafbacked Magic | 47c | 9,120$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…958bbacked Magic | 47c | 7,944$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…7450backed Cavaliers | 53c | 7,771$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…ce82backed Cavaliers | 53c | 7,513$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…59a4backed Magic | 47c | 6,826$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…62dcbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 6,556$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…412bbacked Magic | 47c | 6,009$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,977$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…faddbacked Magic | 47c | 5,922$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…1fabbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,781$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,063.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,747$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.89 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…7115backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,716$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…95c2backed Magic | 47c | 5,657$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…2e7fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,404$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…b7b0backed Magic | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…d94bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 4,774$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…ff62backed Magic | 47c | 4,595$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…78f7backed Magic | 47c | 4,399$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 4,351$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.64 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…b99abacked Magic | 47c | 4,252$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…f438backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,126$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621b…4bf5backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,875$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa12…1df1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,836$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Magic | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.4 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…e0f0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,222$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…334fbacked Magic | 47c | 3,059$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…e7f1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,904$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…5957backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,898$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…c56fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,724$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c0…9ac1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,347$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,095$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.75 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4654…25d3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Magic | 47c | 1,991$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.07 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc029…ade0backed Magic | 47c | 1,981$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…50bfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…8dc9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,428$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.14 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 46c | 1,251$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,039$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,016$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Magic | 48c | 951.89$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.55 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 49c | 859.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.87 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 46c | 748$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 45c | 687.47$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.11 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Cavaliers | 42c | 668.3$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.84 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Magic | 65c | 656.79$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Magic | 51c | 655.14$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.02 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Cavaliers | 47c | 643.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 56c | 586$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.84 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…f851backed Magic | 53c | 565.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Magic | 58c | 543.56$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 536.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Cavaliers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Magic | 53c | 490$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Magic | 47c | 425.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 45c | 392.72$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Cavaliers | 44c | 382.77$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 361.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 44c | 341.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Magic | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Magic | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Magic | 67c | 292.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Magic | 51c | 291.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…a37cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 285$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…0e1bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 277$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…8260backed Cavaliers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Magic | 55c | 257.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.08 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Magic | 60c | 250.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Magic | 58c | 246.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Cavaliers | 47c | 237.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Magic | 50c | 228.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 51c | 222.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Cavaliers | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 206.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Cavaliers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Cavaliers | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 47c | 193.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic | 46c | 192.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cavaliers | 53c | 189.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 182.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…166cbacked Magic | 46c | 181$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…dc73backed Cavaliers | 52c | 166$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic | 57c | 164.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 45c | 163.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…d38bbacked Magic | 47c | 163$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 157.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…7190backed Magic | 48c | 156.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…aeb1backed Magic | 47c | 156$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…cc7dbacked Magic | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…f7f7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 152.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 144.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Magic | 54c | 144.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Magic won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Goga Bitadze: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.