Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c32eb5f2dc6a930af7d083ab6378ce1cb87494274cb632baeacab9c549b012b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,485 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,585$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…51a7backed Over | 77c | 1,150$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 44c | 1,052$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 342.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 273.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242d…73d6backed Over | 50c | 264$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 44c | 175.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 13cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…37b8backed Under | 51c | 143$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 140.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ef…f41bbacked Under | 51c | 121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Under | 10c | 112.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 25c | 90.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Under | 24c | 87.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b1…69d2backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 54c | 55.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 40.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9381…9ae2backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 50c | 37.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 33.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 26.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.