Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce700e02cb43b81d518b6d8a7f514347a184fe55405cabcd7b6a60e86f646ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 22c | 1,137$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 77c | 926.32$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 713$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 74c | 182.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 64c | 175.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb9…0f15backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 29c | 173.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 28c | 152.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 124.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 74c | 113$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 25c | 100.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 83.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 24c | 82.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 76c | 71.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 73c | 62.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 72c | 38.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 76c | 24.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 75c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.