Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec8606ddbfe80d463adface012a09f8ce246e783f25be60ef487d973ee72300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1. FC Kölnof Eintracht Frankfurt, 1. FC Köln
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 28c | 7,994$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 1. FC Köln | 77c | 7,540$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 28c | 2,737$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.28 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 18c | 1,328$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 15c | 754.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…0d62backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 28c | 702.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked 1. FC Köln | 72c | 603.81$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 1. FC Köln | 73c | 363.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 20c | 305.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed 1. FC Köln | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 12c | 211.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked 1. FC Köln | 72c | 206.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 204$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 199.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed 1. FC Köln | 77c | 175.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 22c | 151.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked 1. FC Köln | 72c | 136.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…73a2backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 101.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed 1. FC Köln | 73c | 101.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…1002backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked 1. FC Köln | 72c | 71.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed 1. FC Köln | 74c | 68.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 67.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked 1. FC Köln | 79c | 50.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 21c | 49.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked 1. FC Köln | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 28c | 44.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…d740backed 1. FC Köln | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked 1. FC Köln | 72c | 37.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed 1. FC Köln | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked 1. FC Köln | 77c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…e84dbacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 18.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed 1. FC Köln | 73c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed 1. FC Köln | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked 1. FC Köln | 79c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked 1. FC Köln | 75c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…feb5backed 1. FC Köln | 78c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-2.5)1. FC Köln won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.