Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5572bc10ae682f34da04cb778300d7d1db5ab6b454da7cde916a9e84275e27be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof North Carolina Tar Heels, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Clemson Tigers | 49c | 8,130$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.97 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 5,831$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.14 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 4,816$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Clemson Tigers | 54c | 3,702$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.63 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Clemson Tigers | 54c | 2,178$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Clemson Tigers | 53c | 1,853$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.29 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clemson Tigers | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 1,272$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 1,130$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Clemson Tigers | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 857.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 53c | 497.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 495.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 324.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 55c | 247.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 149.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 77c | 135.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 97.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 95.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 55c | 71.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 57c | 65.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Clemson Tigers | 48c | 58.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 37.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…c6fbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 63c | 35.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 53c | 33.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Clemson Tigers | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Clemson Tigers | 46c | 26.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 57c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 52c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-3.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
- Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-4.5)Clemson Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.