TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Texas State Bobcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Texas State Bobcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,526 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c20,260$9,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,751.1924351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Texas State Bobcats53c18,629$9,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,873.4817742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles59c8,324$4,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.4526945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Texas State Bobcats52c3,840$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5235151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Texas State Bobcats54c3,688$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.7237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas State Bobcats21c3,458$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.625,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Texas State Bobcats1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Texas State Bobcats54c2,373$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.4148855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas State Bobcats3c2,345$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles57c1,503$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.824,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Texas State Bobcats55c1,458$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.274645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Texas State Bobcats45c1,170$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c999.83$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9121549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c959.12$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.741,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c900.71$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5962140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c809.19$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6979448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c743.44$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.1526254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c680.79$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.982,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas State Bobcats42c658.33$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.343,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles70c654.46$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3727450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Texas State Bobcats39c647.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5113342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Texas State Bobcats47c547.84$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.282564%16 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c501.6$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1863551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles51c498.37$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.213141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles64c446.69$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c443.29$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas State Bobcats56c312.46$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.132,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked Texas State Bobcats38c309.54$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.133138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c303.44$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.761,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Texas State Bobcats21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas State Bobcats32c297.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.061,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles52c293.17$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7231646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c247.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3825837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Texas State Bobcats51c199.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c198.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.062,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Texas State Bobcats54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Texas State Bobcats55c160.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.724857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles74c108.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.524959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c106.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles70c106.36$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9116243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Texas State Bobcats31c104.62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c99.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5316721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Texas State Bobcats51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c5…4d7abacked Texas State Bobcats52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles56c95.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Texas State Bobcats53c93.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.366640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Texas State Bobcats34c89.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.481,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Texas State Bobcats55c88.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.949050%45 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Texas State Bobcats56c88.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.783560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas State Bobcats38c88.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.522,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles56c84.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0233445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles65c82.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c79.3$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.038834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles66c77.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3627055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa330…9d33backed Texas State Bobcats57c69.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.661338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles60c66.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c64.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9789146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Texas State Bobcats50c62.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Texas State Bobcats41c57.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.615246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c52.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4325829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c52.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.613435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Texas State Bobcats49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7820234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Texas State Bobcats47c48.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.982755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles62c47.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8913956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles64c43.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Texas State Bobcats59c41.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.531,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles60c33.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.574057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387b…c1a5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles60c33.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b1…0666backed Texas State Bobcats53c31.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1230050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1248551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1232850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c30.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.124148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Texas State Bobcats38c30.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.632,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb224…fedbbacked Texas State Bobcats41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.525254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0515066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5545…4fc5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles67c29.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c26.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6511840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8387…376cbacked Texas State Bobcats44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74fe…8243backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c24.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.388952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c23.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.942166.7%14 W · 7 L+5.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas State Bobcats45c23.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c22.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3816140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c22.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.282653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles72c19.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd687…af84backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles65c19.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles79c15.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.31,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.