South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3bd3b6fd4da802e7670c14074dbd847827e32e6e826aa2f14027268fee3215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 33c | 24,116$7,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,257.79 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 32c | 10,486$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.98 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 5,916$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.59 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 3,753$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.36 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 3,114$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.86 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 2,949$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 2,070$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 67c | 1,993$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.52 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,822$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 1,612$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.31 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…4700backed Yes | 62c | 1,251$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 52c | 1,247$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.93 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 985.95$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 29c | 871.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.99 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 33c | 807.39$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 673.75$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.57 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 458.76$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 448.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.74 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 390.09$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 4c | 377.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.23 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 33c | 301$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 63c | 258.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 57c | 255$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 5c | 231$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 50c | 161.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 61c | 132.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 126.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 40c | 125.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 22c | 112.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 103.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 38c | 103.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed Yes | 32c | 89.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Yes | 50c | 74.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed No | 68c | 71.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 63.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 27c | 59.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed No | 65c | 58.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 71c | 57.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 39c | 54.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 52.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…2aa7backed No | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 38c | 47.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Yes | 40c | 45.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 39c | 41.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Yes | 31c | 40.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 39.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 38.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…9fbebacked Yes | 29c | 36.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 67c | 35.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…c45ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 39c | 32.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…2314backed Yes | 62c | 24.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 20.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 67c | 19.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 68c | 19.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.