South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6171d564131666ae4103a7182afdaad0514ac9fdc6802005fd96c725471ba4ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cusco FCof Estudiantes de La Plata, Cusco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Cusco FC | 43c | 4,031$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Cusco FC | 40c | 2,784$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Cusco FC | 43c | 2,047$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Cusco FC | 39c | 1,980$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.39 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 57c | 1,934$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.43 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Cusco FC | 38c | 1,628$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.67 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 57c | 1,481$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.91 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Cusco FC | 42c | 1,229$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.53 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Cusco FC | 40c | 1,154$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Cusco FC | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Cusco FC | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Cusco FC | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Cusco FC | 41c | 870.4$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cusco FC | 39c | 589.6$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Cusco FC | 32c | 402.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cusco FC | 33c | 341.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.27 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 53c | 247.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cusco FC | 42c | 230.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 63c | 194.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Cusco FC | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cusco FC | 56c | 121.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Cusco FC | 34c | 119.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cusco FC | 27c | 110.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cusco FC | 40c | 99.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Cusco FC | 39c | 77.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 58c | 64.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Cusco FC | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Cusco FC | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 66c | 58.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 64c | 55.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Cusco FC | 41c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 60c | 49.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 76c | 39.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…7ed1backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 59c | 39.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd8…7e8ebacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 50c | 33.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Cusco FC | 35c | 31.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cusco FC | 56c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Cusco FC | 45c | 22.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 54c | 21.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 59c | 19.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Cusco FC | 65c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Cusco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.