South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c8dbf96eb459e4a828ff59afd834d6d93916ad67cc2c6ba0724e861ba58436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 3,592$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 1,268$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.47 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…f386backed Over | 16c | 883.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 848.45$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…1bc0backed Under | 68c | 366.12$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 272.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed Over | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 184.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 71c | 91.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 36c | 84.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 82.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 57c | 81.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 55c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…eaffbacked Under | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 73c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Cusco FC (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Cusco FC won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Cusco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.