Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x957a46eb7464c9cc25c2589ffc2a759a6f1fc2d32035a1149ca65b2393ac765f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,267 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 18c | 3,040$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.42 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,282$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 1,274$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.06 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 19c | 1,240$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.57 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 663.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 619.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 489.89$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 18c | 450.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.41 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 79c | 450$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 399.92$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 363.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 59c | 339.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over | 49c | 304.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 76c | 222$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 43c | 200.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 191.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 29c | 184.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 28c | 157.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 151.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…f8d6backed Over | 71c | 140.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…b917backed Over | 80c | 124.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Under | 29c | 103.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 23c | 87.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 68c | 77.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 27c | 50.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Over | 74c | 40.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d4…1e34backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 53c | 18.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Galatasaray SK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.