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Champions League · resolved market

Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c6,117$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.641,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over43c4,000$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.082733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb54c…500abacked Over61c2,444$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under1c1,953$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.771172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over33c783.86$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.811723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under64c683.57$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under59c537.09$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under41c525.17$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3260%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over46c499.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.814845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under60c492.85$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.712060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over55c491.83$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under50c379.11$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0312551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over31c357.52$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.525529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under62c323.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under67c298.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under46c266.54$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.873354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over36c256.38$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.381668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under57c253.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.798250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over35c243.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3511035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c196.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61,07134.8%373 W · 698 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under12c192.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.086222.6%14 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under40c178.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4647246.8%221 W · 251 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under54c176.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over62c173.69$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7866446.2%307 W · 357 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Over59c168.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.171560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over79c165$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1661437.5%230 W · 384 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Over36c160$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.43441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over47c137.62$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2818643.5%81 W · 105 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under16c111.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over59c104.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.053151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under35c94.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3891032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed Over40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+132.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under43c86.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.062748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over54c73.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5712668.3%86 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over61c72.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.24151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under73c56.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Under56c50.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.352128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.355937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under61c35.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4310743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under53c28.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3117451.7%90 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over43c25.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under68c25.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.021283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under49c21.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54392.6%1 W · 38 L-14.8wins-0.38per pick40cpaid-94.9%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under70c20.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5510752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.