Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0f17b9e095bd096f1f30ef89ee6ff9588f59f816b0f3202484d9c6e1fa8db8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: AS Omónoia Leukosíasof Qairat FK, AS Omónoia Leukosías
Resolved: Jul 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,929 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	80c	6,584$5,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.49	915	37.6%344 W · 571 L	+30.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Qairat FK	17c	3,587$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.89	886	31.7%281 W · 605 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	47c	2,079$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.14	467	41.5%194 W · 273 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Qairat FK	49c	2,045$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.17	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	70c	1,653$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.41	601	36.9%222 W · 379 L	-28.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Qairat FK	18c	1,502$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.13	318	47.5%151 W · 167 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qairat FK	29c	1,497$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.31	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	63c	1,286$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.95	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Qairat FK	20c	1,270$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.74	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Qairat FK	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-5.9wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Qairat FK	19c	776.39$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.79	338	44.7%151 W · 187 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x676e…28c5backed Qairat FK	21c	565.78$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	51c	546.64$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.57	723	35.5%257 W · 466 L	-28.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Qairat FK	35c	546.5$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	54c	431$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.2	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked Qairat FK	55c	391.24$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.18	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	53c	376.94$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.35	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc405…9bd5backed Qairat FK	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Qairat FK	55c	354.55$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Qairat FK	18c	350.72$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.66	222	45%100 W · 122 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Qairat FK	30c	342.63$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.79	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Qairat FK	56c	339.25$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.98	328	43.6%143 W · 185 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	79c	321.24$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.46	299	49.5%148 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	79c	307.62$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	607	48.4%294 W · 313 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Qairat FK	19c	299.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	179	7.8%14 W · 165 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Qairat FK	31c	269.56$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.16	1,021	35.3%360 W · 661 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	68c	249.48$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.77	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	70c	248.22$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.47	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Qairat FK	56c	241.28$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Qairat FK	21c	236$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	137	38.7%53 W · 84 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Qairat FK	44c	229.81$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.41	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ba…dc2bbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	55c	201.32$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.91	245	45.3%111 W · 134 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Qairat FK	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Qairat FK	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	48c	176.67$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.27	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Qairat FK	30c	173.47$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.04	82	50%41 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Qairat FK	24c	173.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.28	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Qairat FK	51c	166.67$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	125	56%70 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Qairat FK	33c	163.35$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	397	43.3%172 W · 225 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Qairat FK	19c	149.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	381	42.8%163 W · 218 L	-22.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	45c	139.7$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.07	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Qairat FK	39c	134.74$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.12	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Qairat FK	30c	128.23$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.47	125	51.2%64 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	64c	109.38$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.91	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Qairat FK	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Qairat FK	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Qairat FK	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Qairat FK	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	198	56.6%112 W · 86 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Qairat FK	66c	93.68$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	65c	79.42$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.17	159	54.7%87 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Qairat FK	55c	69.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	65c	64.45$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.65	143	53.8%77 W · 66 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Qairat FK	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Qairat FK	55c	62.04$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	308	56.8%175 W · 133 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Qairat FK	17c	60.24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	174	43.7%76 W · 98 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	78c	51$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.22	139	36.7%51 W · 88 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82f3…5cd4backed Qairat FK	37c	50.93$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Qairat FK	55c	47.85$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	170	58.8%100 W · 70 L	+10.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	73c	47.7$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	382	53.9%206 W · 176 L	+21.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed Qairat FK	55c	44.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	78c	41.27$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.97	520	46.7%243 W · 277 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Qairat FK	39c	40$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	31c	38.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.87	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+96.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Qairat FK	55c	35.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.79	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Qairat FK	35c	35.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	67c	32.11$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.6	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Qairat FK	32c	31.76$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Qairat FK	54c	29.63$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf331…2489backed Qairat FK	55c	29.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Qairat FK	37c	28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-14.3wins	-0.38per pick	40cpaid	-94.7%equal weight	25-0.23 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked AS Omónoia Leukosías	66c	26.37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.97	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	69c	21.84$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.7	440	33.9%149 W · 291 L	-12.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…3232backed AS Omónoia Leukosías	48c	21.42$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)this page
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: AS Omónoia Leukosías O/U 0.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 0.5Over won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 3.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 4.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 5.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Over won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK O/U 1.5Under won
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Team to AdvanceQairat FK won
Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)Qairat FK won
Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)Qairat FK won
Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event