Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5852df966c95f884b8cf7ebb0f1cd23923d45cfbf535599a9ff85c092f4edc67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 4,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.97 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 2,829$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.83 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…d88abacked Under | 1c | 1,857$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +3,312%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 590.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 38c | 211.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 62c | 169.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 62c | 157.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 88.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 60c | 49.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 39c | 40.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 30.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 30.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 64c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 62c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK O/U 1.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: AS Omónoia Leukosías O/U 0.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Team to AdvanceQairat FK won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-1.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: AS Omónoia Leukosías (-2.5)Qairat FK won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won
- Spread: Qairat FK (-2.5)AS Omónoia Leukosías won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.