Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa34f2fb5664f2cc079ba616597ab300bbbe6dd91e3d597f5bc45693c6ea20082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 40c | 4,072$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.13 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked Yes | 57c | 2,061$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,019$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.1 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 72c | 1,312$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 42c | 1,127$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.19 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 751.92$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 28c | 675$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 68c | 448.3$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 58c | 406.76$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.51 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 37c | 363.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 296.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 69c | 294.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed Yes | 75c | 287.01$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 45c | 268.48$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 44c | 253.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 65c | 209.05$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 30c | 202.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 44c | 184$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 49c | 180.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1694…8badbacked No | 30c | 177.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 157.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 55c | 152.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 147.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 32c | 145$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 53c | 137.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 67c | 137$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 67c | 136.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 50c | 129.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed No | 67c | 123$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 43c | 115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 58c | 107$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Yes | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 29c | 96.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 28c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 74c | 70.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 66.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed No | 71c | 62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b6…091abacked Yes | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…e8e7backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 29c | 56.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 50c | 54.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 76c | 54.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed No | 70c | 52.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 44c | 50.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…144dbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…b759backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 40c | 49.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 31c | 48.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 40c | 45.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 49c | 45.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 44.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…67fabacked Yes | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked Yes | 63c | 40.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…cdbebacked Yes | 77c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 35c | 34.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 73c | 34.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…103fbacked Yes | 77c | 30.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…76adbacked No | 37c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…3b73backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e2b1backed Yes | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 61c | 25.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…4c7cbacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…0464backed Yes | 71c | 23.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 67c | 23.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…e3ecbacked Yes | 70c | 22.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cca…507cbacked Yes | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1e…e714backed Yes | 70c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…3b18backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…4850backed Yes | 70c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…e65bbacked Yes | 70c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…b224backed Yes | 70c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063f…91a9backed Yes | 70c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…d9eebacked Yes | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f2…2f05backed Yes | 74c | 14.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.