TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7f4…144d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$46.25
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.73
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$12.61
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$85.78
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.11
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$18.85
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,194.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$11.34
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$163.51
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.92
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.73
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$19.23
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50%+$42.5
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$11.6
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.41
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.75
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$133.17
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$10.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.07
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$78.07
LoL: Bubliki vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$41.51
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+247.5%+$101.01
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.79
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$26.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.47
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$17.59
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.03
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+233%+$191.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.06
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$10.79
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51%+$16.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.94
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cbacked 2007 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$15.88
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Bbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53%+$13.89
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36.34
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$39.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$35.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.