WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24681ff50e47c29dc82477346c77a8352732bf4fc00290fd59bc17d3ee090bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Seattle Storm, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 69,252$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,512.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 54,361$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.06 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 17,500$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.58 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Storm | 0c | 5,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 4,550$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 3,975$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.03 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 4c | 3,140$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 2,602$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.22 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 2,483$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.08 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 2,269$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 1,950$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 1,840$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Storm | 5c | 1,390$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Storm | 9c | 1,306$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ef…82b8backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 1,107$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Seattle Storm | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 939$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 935.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 916.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 877.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 867.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 453.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…82e5backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Seattle Storm | 3c | 446.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 407.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…144dbacked Seattle Storm | 12c | 406.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 389.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 364.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 360.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 338.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 320$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 316.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 304.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 270$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…a916backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 268.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Seattle Storm | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Seattle Storm | 12c | 220.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 214.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Seattle Storm | 9c | 166.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 144.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Seattle Storm | 10c | 136.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Seattle Storm | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Seattle Storm | 13c | 107.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Seattle Storm | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Seattle Storm | 13c | 87.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…6db7backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Acesthis page
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.