WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d10b42c6a9ff7818ed7a869f5ba58a2e1004b7d3c002b13274db411f42cc723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 3,872$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.38 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 49c | 3,618$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.23 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 44c | 2,977$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.88 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 1,930$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.75 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 4c | 1,464$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 10c | 1,392$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 53c | 920.75$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 56c | 505.34$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 477.8$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 58c | 433.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under | 44c | 364$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 78c | 231.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…6761backed Under | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Over | 54c | 84.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Under | 43c | 69.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 43c | 67.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 45c | 54.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 46.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 47c | 44.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 44.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 58c | 40.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 48c | 23.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.