WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983986e3cdadfded949e2877b156d2e32cdb9077c94f6c6a033d5ae76b5067b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 4,195$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.4 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 15c | 2,805$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 936.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 52c | 635$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 45c | 375.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 11c | 347.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 20c | 279.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 44c | 274.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 52c | 217.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 195.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 45c | 193.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 51c | 175.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 19c | 122.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 45c | 110.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 48c | 94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 91.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 22c | 84.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 15c | 70.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 68.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…794bbacked Under | 22c | 55.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…47cfbacked Under | 22c | 55.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e138backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 72c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 26.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…0fbcbacked Under | 52c | 24.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 71c | 14.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 163.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 160.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 161.5Over won
- Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-15.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-16.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.