MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00be5f60170d738599c542943a833939be1aa6f6b2f6fab41eef6384437790bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,023,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,048,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,023,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 211,765$106,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,717.6 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 100,000$48,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,499.99 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 92,941$47,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,403.82 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics | 0c | 74,241$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Athletics | 50c | 65,312$32,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,655.97 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Athletics | 51c | 56,586$28,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,858.98 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Athletics | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 23c | 36,507$8,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,496.95 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Athletics | 50c | 21,093$10,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,485.35 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Athletics | 50c | 19,943$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 49c | 17,500$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,574.89 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 22c | 15,632$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 51c | 14,345$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.7 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 50c | 13,538$6,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,825.52 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 13,124$6,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,503.31 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 11,001$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.81 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Athletics | 51c | 10,900$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Athletics | 50c | 10,250$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Athletics | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…5048backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 9,944$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 7,742$3,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 7,679$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.78 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics | 50c | 6,644$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.13 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 6,439$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.24 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Athletics | 50c | 6,333$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…d98bbacked Athletics | 50c | 6,062$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Athletics | 50c | 6,007$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.65 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 21c | 4,904$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 4,824$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.24 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics | 21c | 4,824$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.37 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 49c | 4,810$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,269$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.55 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Athletics | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 4,038$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.37 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,726$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.47 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics | 51c | 3,500$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.99 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,767$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 2,756$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.71 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Athletics | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Athletics | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Athletics | 50c | 2,411$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Athletics | 50c | 2,395$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 79c | 2,330$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Athletics | 50c | 2,295$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,275$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 50c | 2,274$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.35 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed Athletics | 50c | 2,186$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,136$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,096$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Athletics | 50c | 2,052$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Athletics | 50c | 2,045$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 51c | 2,020$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.1 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed Athletics | 50c | 1,961$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed Athletics | 50c | 1,949$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Athletics | 50c | 1,937$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Athletics | 50c | 1,935$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,865$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Athletics | 50c | 1,817$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,812$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.34 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,759$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.33 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,726$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,687$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…8f37backed Athletics | 51c | 1,620$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 49c | 1,513$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 15c | 1,500$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Athletics | 50c | 1,445$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.39 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,391$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.5 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Athletics | 49c | 1,377$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.73 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 22c | 1,330$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 39c | 1,248$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.87 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Athletics | 51c | 1,240$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.21 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Athletics | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,064$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.16 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,063$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.93 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 23c | 1,020$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Athletics | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Athletics | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1c…92adbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.62 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…7b8abacked Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Athletics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.