WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c81b36f4dfa5ec3a0ae9edf4c0ef91ccc71e26461da641c9a62c193a62330c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Dallas Wings, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 29,088$14,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,049.17 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed PortlandFire | 54c | 26,685$14,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,308.05 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 15,158$7,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.16 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed PortlandFire | 52c | 8,662$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.29 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed PortlandFire | 59c | 4,773$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.95 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 3,147$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.04 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 2,960$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 2,499$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.87 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,032$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.5 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 1,720$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.2 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 832.28$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed PortlandFire | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Dallas Wings | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 449.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 410.96$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.51 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 378.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 286$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Dallas Wings | 42c | 239.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed PortlandFire | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dallas Wings | 21c | 231.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 230.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed PortlandFire | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 156.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 109.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 57c | 105.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 100.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 100.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…a015backed PortlandFire | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…144dbacked PortlandFire | 55c | 80.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed PortlandFire | 75c | 70.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 44.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PortlandFire | 47c | 30.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed PortlandFire | 47c | 28.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed PortlandFire | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.