WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc240318f52dbae14740b8a3918767e5b0d92517a3ee3bb09a580042acd18bcfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,320$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.58 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 48c | 912$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.76 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 44c | 610.03$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 56c | 420$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 153.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b001backed Over | 48c | 139$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 18c | 128.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 55c | 124.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Over | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 65.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 38c | 61.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 61c | 53.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 47c | 51.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 57c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 66c | 30.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 45c | 27.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 25.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 54c | 21.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 70c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 74c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 69c | 14.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirePortlandFire won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 167.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 169.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.