Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d240de0d0ab5a55bc688eb09ca7066a023fc0942a08d6cb2607971eb87d936f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 29c | 2,739$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.13 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 27c | 2,702$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.15 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,818$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.22 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 72c | 1,388$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 76c | 848$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.48 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 45c | 744.51$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.17 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…75c1backed Yes | 67c | 738.58$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 71c | 674.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 66c | 652$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 76c | 532.1$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 30c | 429.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…99b4backed Yes | 24c | 422.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 392.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 67c | 388.13$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 69c | 354$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 32c | 314.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a5…f0cdbacked Yes | 33c | 298.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 26c | 260.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 71c | 255$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 28c | 251$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 181 | 26%47 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…acc2backed Yes | 36c | 248.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 65c | 241.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed No | 61c | 232.8$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 65c | 232.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 62c | 220$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 26c | 209.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 207.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…fd3abacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…39f9backed Yes | 24c | 196.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…c14dbacked Yes | 41c | 185.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 160.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked Yes | 37c | 159$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 154.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 149$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 72c | 137.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 69c | 135.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 44c | 129.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 128.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…e74cbacked No | 65c | 119.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 67c | 109.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 108.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 105.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 62c | 101.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…1862backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 33c | 96.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 91.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061c…ba08backed No | 65c | 91.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 31c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 60c | 88.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 23c | 87.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…a81ebacked No | 65c | 82.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 25c | 75.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 75.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 32c | 73.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked No | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Yes | 28c | 71.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 69c | 71.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…767bbacked Yes | 41c | 68.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 27c | 63.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed Yes | 27c | 62.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 23c | 60.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 55.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 250 | 30.8%77 W · 173 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 66c | 51.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 37c | 49.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 49.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 58c | 48.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 68c | 45.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed No | 66c | 44.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 71c | 42.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…67fabacked Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 64c | 35.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 54c | 34.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 68c | 28.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…a622backed Yes | 69c | 28.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…b9cdbacked No | 55c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 61c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.