Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf453b5836266670ff3848191b107ce5ecb5809f32269ab5883376f0b678659c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 1,596$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.72 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 1,034$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.8 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 425.62$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 411.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.89 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 358.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.66 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 321.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 41c | 302.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.73 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 289.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.82 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 70c | 289.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 267.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 43c | 206.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 46c | 203.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 51c | 202.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 68c | 198.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 28c | 161.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 52c | 158.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 60c | 155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 59c | 149.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 51c | 148.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…03ffbacked Yes | 50c | 137.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 49 | 91.8%45 W · 4 L | +18.2wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 77+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 132.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 128$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 36c | 125.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 74c | 108.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 49c | 103.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 49c | 102.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 49c | 97.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 61c | 95.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 44c | 92.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 88.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 67c | 84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 71c | 83.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 83.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 68c | 79.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 41c | 79.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 61c | 74.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 40c | 73.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 40c | 73.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 71.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 67c | 69.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 29c | 68.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 34c | 63.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 47c | 63.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…fcf0backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 65c | 58.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…ba81backed No | 71c | 56.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…4354backed No | 72c | 55.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 54.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 49c | 52.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 50.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…9014backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 73c | 48.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 57c | 46.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked No | 53c | 41.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 52c | 40.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 66c | 40.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 37c | 40.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 61c | 37.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 50c | 36.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 38c | 36.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 36.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 57c | 31.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 31.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 43c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1283…b348backed Yes | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…e9f4backed Yes | 77c | 27.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +10.4wins | +0.32per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 71c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 58c | 25.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 60c | 25.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 25.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.