Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e2125ac8524e17555c794f98ce6eb676c462489044b945b355942e382ceb4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 453.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 62c | 237$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 31c | 196.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 183.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 174.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 59c | 147.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 39c | 140.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 58c | 130.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 37c | 128$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 65c | 127.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 34c | 125.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 51c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 118.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 111.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 102.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 68c | 92.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 67c | 83.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 31c | 83.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…d22ebacked Yes | 77c | 80.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 77.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8282backed Yes | 33c | 75.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…b9edbacked Yes | 36c | 69.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 34c | 68.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffcd…1666backed No | 67c | 64.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 64.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…8f33backed No | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 121 | 74.4%90 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8d…9377backed No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 65c | 56.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 32c | 55.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 35c | 52.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 50.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 47c | 48.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 45.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 70c | 44.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 69c | 44.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…d90cbacked Yes | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 35c | 43.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 55c | 43.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 33c | 42.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 34c | 40.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 30c | 39.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 33c | 39.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 35c | 38.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 67c | 38.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 36.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 68c | 35.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 35c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 30c | 33.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…5cb0backed No | 66c | 33.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…90a6backed Yes | 61c | 32.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 32.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 35c | 30.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 66c | 29.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…c336backed Yes | 59c | 27.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 58c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 65c | 24.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 68c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 66c | 21.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1427backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 64c | 19.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 65c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 66c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…2fcbbacked No | 70c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.